Harju JK Laagri - Parnu JK Vaprus prediction 18/10/2026

Harju JK Laagri vs Parnu JK Vaprus prediction for the Meistriliiga match on Oct 18 at 08:30. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Harju JK Laagri has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Parnu JK Vaprus has a 24% chance. This betting preview covers who will win, the odds, and the key stats.

Team Form

Harju JK Laagri comes into this match with strong recent results. Their last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss. They beat JK Nomme Kalju 1-0 away on Oct 10 and crushed FC Tallinn 10-0 in the Cup on Oct 3. A 0-0 home draw with Kuressaare on Sep 18 and a 2-1 away win at Paide Linnameeskond on Sep 13 show solid form. The only recent slip was a 3-2 loss at Parnu JK Vaprus on Sep 9.

Parnu JK Vaprus is struggling. Their last five matches have one win, one draw, and three losses. A 2-2 home draw with JK Narva Trans on Oct 10 stopped a losing streak, but before that they lost 3-2 at Flora Tallinn, 2-0 at Paide Linnameeskond, and 4-0 at Levadia Tallinn. The 3-2 home win over Harju JK Laagri on Sep 9 is their only recent bright spot.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams favors Parnu JK Vaprus. In 13 meetings, Parnu JK Vaprus has 6 wins, Harju JK Laagri has 3, and there have been 4 draws. The last five matches show Parnu JK Vaprus with three wins, one draw, and one loss. The most recent game on Sep 9, 2026, ended 3-2 to Parnu JK Vaprus at home. Harju JK Laagri's last win in this fixture was a 2-0 away result on Apr 4, 2026.

League Table Positions

In the Meistriliiga overall standings, Harju JK Laagri sits 6th with 41 points from 31 matches (13 wins, 2 draws, 16 losses). Parnu JK Vaprus is 7th with 36 points from 31 matches (10 wins, 6 draws, 15 losses). The home table shows Harju JK Laagri 7th with 23 points from 16 home games, while Parnu JK Vaprus is 8th in the away table with just 11 points from 15 away matches. Parnu JK Vaprus has struggled on the road, winning only 3 times away all season.

Win Probability: Harju JK Laagri or Parnu JK Vaprus?

Harju JK Laagri has a 52% chance to win this match. The draw is at 24%, and Parnu JK Vaprus has a 24% chance. This probability is based on the available form data, head-to-head record, and league positions. Harju JK Laagri's recent form is much better with three wins in five, while Parnu JK Vaprus has lost three of their last five. Although Parnu JK Vaprus leads the H2H, Harju JK Laagri's home advantage and higher league position tip the balance. Parnu JK Vaprus has a very poor away record this season, which lowers their win probability significantly.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are available in the data for this match. Based on the stats, Harju JK Laagri is the favorite to win. Their better form and Parnu JK Vaprus's weak away performances make a home win the most likely outcome. A draw is also a realistic possibility given the four draws in the head-to-head history. Our Harju JK Laagri vs Parnu JK Vaprus prediction is a home win, but the match could be close.