Metallurg Bekabad - Shurtan Guzar prediction 13/10/2026

Our Metallurg Bekabad vs Shurtan Guzar prediction for October 13, 2026, focuses on this Pro League match in Uzbekistan. Based on the stats, Metallurg Bekabad enters as the slight favorite with a 42% chance to win. The draw probability is 30%, and Shurtan Guzar has a 28% chance.

Team Form

Metallurg Bekabad comes into this match in strong shape. Their last five results are D, W, W, W, W. They drew 0-0 away at Kattaqorgon on Oct 8, then beat Jayhun Nukus 1-0 at home on Sep 20. Earlier home wins over Pakhtakor Tashkent II (1-0) and away victories against BuxDU Buxoro (4-0) and PFC Terdu (3-0) show a solid defense and efficient attack.

Shurtan Guzar also shows excellent form with W, W, W, W, L in their last five. They beat Jayhun Nukus 3-1 at home on Oct 7, crushed Pakhtakor Tashkent II 4-0 away on Sep 21, and won 3-0 at home against PFC Terdu. A 4-1 win at Turan Yaypan and a 3-1 loss at FarDu Fergana complete the picture. Both teams are scoring goals and winning matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is limited. In their last two meetings, Shurtan Guzar has the edge. On Jun 4, 2026, Shurtan Guzar won 1-0 at home in the Pro League. Before that, on Feb 27, 2026, they played a 1-1 draw in a Friendly Clubs match. Metallurg Bekabad has 0 wins, Shurtan Guzar has 1 win, and there has been 1 draw.

League Table Positions

In the overall Pro League standings, Shurtan Guzar sits 2nd with 45 points from 21 matches (14 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). Metallurg Bekabad is not listed in the overall table, but the team named Metalourg is 3rd with 43 points. Looking at home form, Shurtan Guzar is 3rd with 23 points from 11 home games. Metallurg Bekabad's home record is not directly available, but Metalourg is 4th at home with 22 points. In the away table, Shurtan Guzar ranks 2nd with 22 points from 10 away matches. The standings show Shurtan Guzar as the higher-ranked side overall and a very strong away team.

Win Probability: Metallurg Bekabad or Shurtan Guzar?

We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and league positions. The bookmaker odds average around 2.30 for a Metallurg Bekabad win, 3.30 for a draw, and 2.68 for a Shurtan Guzar win. Removing the margin, the true probabilities are approximately: Metallurg Bekabad win 42%, draw 30%, Shurtan Guzar win 28%. Metallurg Bekabad has home advantage and excellent recent form, but Shurtan Guzar is higher in the table and has a better head-to-head record. This makes the match very balanced, with a slight edge to the home side. The most likely outcome is a Metallurg Bekabad win, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this match show Metallurg Bekabad as the favorite. One bookmaker offers 2.41 for a home win, 3.04 for a draw, and 2.79 for an away win. Another lists 2.25, 3.50, and 2.62. A third has 2.25, 3.35, and 2.62. These betting tips suggest a tight contest. Our Metallurg Bekabad vs Shurtan Guzar prediction is a home win or a draw, with under 2.5 total goals likely based on recent defensive records. Metallurg Bekabad has kept three clean sheets in their last five matches.