Pakhtakor Tashkent II - Shurtan Guzar prediction 21/09/2026

Our Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Shurtan Guzar prediction looks at the Pro League match on Sep 21 at 11:00. Shurtan Guzar is the clear favorite with a 68% win probability based on form, head-to-head record, and league table positions.

Team Form

Pakhtakor Tashkent II has struggled recently. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses (W, L, W, L, L). They lost their last two away games against Jayhun Nukus and Metallurg Bekabad, both by a 2-0 scoreline. At home, they beat PFC Terdu 3-0 and Lochin 2-1, but overall they have only 3 wins in 19 league matches.

Shurtan Guzar comes into this game in much better shape. Their last five results are three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, W, L, W, D). They beat PFC Terdu 3-0 at home and won 4-1 away at Turan Yaypan. Their only recent defeat was a 3-1 loss at FarDu Fergana.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before. On May 05, 2026, Shurtan Guzar beat Pakhtakor Tashkent II 2-0 at home. That gives Shurtan Guzar a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head, with zero draws and zero wins for Pakhtakor Tashkent II.

League Table Positions

Shurtan Guzar sits 3rd in the Pro League table with 39 points from 19 games (12 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 31 goals and conceded 19. Away from home, they are 2nd in the league, with 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in 9 away matches.

Pakhtakor Tashkent II is 12th out of 12 teams. They have just 10 points from 19 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 15 losses), with 13 goals scored and 42 conceded. The gap between the two teams is 29 points.

Win Probability: Pakhtakor Tashkent II or Shurtan Guzar?

Based on the available odds, form, and standings, we calculate the win probability as follows: Shurtan Guzar has a 68% chance to win, the draw is at 22%, and Pakhtakor Tashkent II has a 10% chance. The odds imply Shurtan Guzar is the strong favorite, and their 3rd-place position against the bottom side supports this. The head-to-head win and superior away form add further weight. Pakhtakor Tashkent II's poor defensive record - 42 goals conceded in 19 games - makes an upset very unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match show Shurtan Guzar as the favorite. The best available odds are 1.41 for an away win, while a home win for Pakhtakor Tashkent II is priced around 5.76. The draw is offered at 4.25. These odds reflect the big gap in quality and league position between the two sides.

Our Pakhtakor Tashkent II vs Shurtan Guzar prediction is an away win. Shurtan Guzar has the form, the head-to-head edge, and a far better league record. Pakhtakor Tashkent II has lost 15 of 19 games this season, and it is hard to see them getting a result here. The betting tips point to a Shurtan Guzar victory, likely with a clean sheet.